Models that admit what they don’t know

Sports pricing with honest calibration, calendars that keep themselves current, and engineering tools that turn a polygon into a finished drawing. Built in Omaha by Blake Jones.

Calendars

Your teams. On your calendar.

Every game, with the spread, TV channel, AP rank and record — kept current so you never have to.

🐗 Calendar

Arkansas
Razorbacks

Every game with the spread, broadcast info, AP rank and record — updated daily.

Learn more
Next gameChecking the board…
 
Spread
Total
Model fair
Cover prob
Consensus across books · the calendar carries the same number

🌽 Calendar

Nebraska
Cornhuskers

Every game with the spread, broadcast info, AP rank and record — updated daily.

Learn more
Next gameChecking the board…
 
Spread
Total
Model fair
Cover prob
Consensus across books · the calendar carries the same number

Against the Spread

See the game from every angle.

Every eligible NFL and college game priced against its own fair spread, simulated 50,000 times, and ranked by expected value after the vig. Five picks at most — often fewer.

The daily against-the-spread card: selections, cover probability, expected value and bet score
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out-of-sample games, walk-forward against closing lines
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college football seasons in the backtest
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drive-level simulations per game, every morning
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books priced — the card uses the consensus, not the best number

Sports models

Priced off the data, not the narrative.

Each model is market-anchored, de-vigged against the sharpest book, and graded automatically on closing-line value — win or lose.

MLB Edge Finder

The pitcher is the run environment.

Statcast xERA and xwOBA, starter and bullpen modelled separately, negative-binomial totals, air density and wind — then priced against de-vigged moneylines, totals and NRFI.

Open MLB Edge Finder
Pitch locations plotted across a strike zone

NRFI / YRFI

The first inning, solved exactly.

Not a Poisson on projected runs. The probability of a scoreless first is computed by propagating every base-out state through the half inning, then calibrated to the .520 league base rate.

Open NRFI / YRFI
A base-out state diagram for the first inning

HR Edge & Hit Props

Every hitter, priced before the card posts.

P(1+ HR) from barrel rate, xISO and fly-ball profile, log5’d against the starter and adjusted for platoon and park. Over 0.5 hits ranked on projected lineups hours ahead.

HR Edge Finder     Hit Props
Exit velocity against launch angle with the barrel zone highlighted

Engineering & civic data

A polygon in. A finished drawing out.

Nebraska OSP Basemap · AUTO_MYMAPS

Print-ready in one upload.

Upload a boundary and get an AutoCAD 2013 DXF back — roads, parcels and NDOT right-of-way pulled live and laid out on numbered sheets. Or split a KMZ into My Maps-ready files, one per polygon.

Open Engineering Tools
Map linework with a highlighted service polygon and a fibre route

Conway Vendor Watchdog

$365 million, audited.

44,000 City of Conway payments from 2018 to 2026 — top vendors, monthly spend spikes, split-payment patterns and cross-fund crossovers, pulled from the city’s hidden Open Checkbook API.

Open Conway Checkbook     Texas Scraper
Bar chart of monthly city spending with flagged spikes

Everything

All the work, in one place.

Gambling

ATS Edge — Top 5 Bets

Daily against-the-spread card. Model fair spread vs market, cover probability, EV after vig, Monte Carlo simulation and closing-line value tracked on every wager.

Ensemble MLMonte CarloCLV tracking
Open
Tracking

Jordan Wicks Tracker

Live pitching line from MLB Stats — browser companion to the Telegram tracker that notifies you when Wicks enters a game.

MLB APILive feed
Open
Gambling

HR Edge Finder

Modelled P(1+ HR) per hitter, priced against live home-run props.

StatcastThe Odds APIPython
Open
Gambling

Arbitrage Scanner

Cross-book moneyline scanner — pure arbs when they exist, plus the tightest two-way vig.

MarketsAutomation
Open
Gambling

MLB Edge Finder

Moneyline, totals and NRFI — Statcast-driven, market-anchored, CLV-tracked.

StatcastCLV trackingIsotonic calibration
Open
Gambling

NRFI / YRFI Edge Finder

Probability of a scoreless first inning from an exact base-out state model, priced against real de-vigged book numbers.

State modelThe Odds APIStatcast
Open
Gambling

Horse Racing Analysis

Interactive slate: picks, pace, risk tiers and bankroll notes for Oaklawn & Fonner.

ReactSpeed figs
Open
Gambling

Hit Props

MLB Over 0.5 Hits — log5 batter-vs-pitcher rates with Statcast, weather and bullpen context, on projected lineups hours before cards post.

MLB Stats APIOpen-MeteoVanilla JS
Open
Automation

Sports Calendar Sync

Python system syncing game schedules, AP rankings, betting odds and broadcast info to iCloud via CalDAV for Razorbacks, Huskers, Lakers and Penguins.

PythonCalDAVESPN APIiCloud
Razorbacks calendar
Automation

Visio PDF Converter

GUI tool converting multi-page PDFs to Visio documents with each page as a locked image on 11×17 landscape pages. Uses COM automation.

PythonVisio COMtkinter
GIS

AUTO_MYMAPS Builder

Upload a KMZ or KML and split it into My Maps-ready files — one per polygon, with features inside, simplified linework and a summary CSV.

KML/KMZMy MapsFastAPIShapely
Open
CAD

Nebraska OSP Basemap

Upload a polygon and get a print-ready outside-plant basemap back as an AutoCAD 2013 DXF — roads, parcels and NDOT right-of-way pulled live and saved through AutoCAD itself.

PythonezdxfAutoCADArcGISFastAPI
Open
Civic data

Conway Vendor Watchdog

Audits 44,000+ City of Conway, AR checkbook payments ($365M, 2018–2026) — top vendors, spend spikes, split-payment patterns and cross-fund crossovers.

PythonDuckDBPlaywrightScraper
Open
Civic data

Texas Scraper

TxDOT contractor parsing and CIS dashboard.

ScrapyFastAPIReact
Open
Trading

Algorithmic Trading Bots

Multi-strategy system combining momentum, mean reversion and ML signals with Alpaca paper trading, Polygon data and Discord alerts.

PythonAlpaca APIPolygonPyQt
CAD

MicroStation Sheet Generator

VBA macros for MicroStation V8i automating grid-to-sheets creation with navigation pointers and unit counting across complex engineering drawings.

VBAMicroStation V8iCAD
GIS

ROW Edge Line Generator

QGIS script generating right-of-way edge lines from OSM road data with KML/KMZ boundary input for telecom infrastructure planning.

PythonQGISOSMDXF
AI / ML

Forever Frozen Memories

Photo digitization and AI restoration service in Omaha. Automated pipelines for scanning, enhancing, colorizing and restoring damaged vintage photographs.

AI RestorationImage ProcessingPython

About

Building tools that automate the boring stuff.

Automation Architect based in Omaha, NE with deep expertise in Python development, GIS processing, CAD automation and trading systems.

My work spans telecommunications infrastructure mapping, utility engineering workflows and sports data automation. I build tools with MicroStation V8i, QGIS, Visio and various APIs to turn manual processes into push-button solutions.

When I’m not coding, I’m following the

RazorbacksHuskersLakersPenguins
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major projects
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domains
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APIs integrated
hours automated

See the game from every angle.

Today’s card, graded automatically, with every past wager on the record.

Open Against the Spread