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The no-vig consensus of 13 other books makes that a 47.7% winner, which is +1.7% expected value per dollar."},{"label":"WHERE IT STOPS","text":"Fair price at -3.5 is +109. Still a bet at any price better than that; worse, and the edge is gone. Re-check the number before betting \u2014 these edges are small and books correct them."},{"label":"TYPICAL BOOK","text":"Most books post -3.0 at about -117, worth -4.1% \u2014 the value here is specific to Novig."},{"label":"FAIR LINE","text":"The market's de-vigged fair line for Seattle Seahawks is -3.7."},{"label":"WEATHER","text":"Forecast at kickoff: 52\u00b0F with 9 mph wind. Already in the market price; listed for context."},{"label":"AVAILABILITY","text":"Reported injuries are significant in this game (about 2.0 points by our estimate). 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